What to Know : After Divisional Weekend

football, games, divisional

There must be a balance in place for playoff games. Last week’s wildcard games were so lackluster that this past weekend’s divisional games had no choice but to tip the scales with some of the best playoff football one weekend has ever seen. Wow. This weekend was a fan’s dream! (Minus, of course, the Packers loss. That was clearly a nightmare.)

Game 1: Ravens at Broncos (Ravens 38, Broncos 35)

What We Learned: Never quit. The Broncos secondary quit on a late Hail Mary by Joe Flacco in the waning seconds of the game when it seemed like the Broncos had sealed the deal on a victory. The 70 yard TD tied the game…and the Broncos, with Peyton Manning at the helm, with 2 timeouts at their disposal, decided to run out the last 30 seconds on the clock and take their chances in OT. Clearly, that decision did not work in their favor. Remember all of those stats we talked about on Friday? In this game, Playoff Peyton got the better or Ravens-Beating Peyton.

What’s Next?: The Ravens move on to face the Patriots at Foxborough for a rematch of last year’s AFC Championship game.

Game 2: Packers at 49ers (Packers 24 31, 49ers 45)

What We Learned: Colin Kaepernick is good. The Packers defense is bad. As we talked about yesterday, the Packers had no answer for the option-heavy offense the Niners run, and the Niners didn’t have to answer for anything the Packers ran because they barely did anything on either side of the ball. Those last 7 points in garbage time shouldn’t count; at that point in the game everyone had given up.

What’s Next?: The 49ers will travel to Atlanta to play the newly-energized Falcons.

Game 3: Seahawks at Falcons (Seahawks 28, Falcons 30)

What We Learned: It’s not over until the last Hail Mary is thrown. This game was 20-0, Falcons, at the half. That the Seahawks were going to come back and take the lead was possible, not probable, and definitely not one of the options Falcons faithful saw as remotely plausible. But come back they did! It started with a Matt Ryan interception and continued with Russell Wilson being Russell Wilson. The Seahawks don’t go down without a fight. The Falcons tend to fold easily. But in the end, we learned that there is something different about this Falcon’s team.

They win in the playoffs.

What’s Next?: The Falcons will host the red-hot 49ers in the NFC Championship game.

Game 4: Texans at Patriots (Texans 28, Patriots 41)

What We Learned: This game was different than the last one. For one thing, it was still close at halftime – 17-13, Patriots. Last time the Patriots soundly defeated the Texans, and this time it felt more like the Texans were beating themselves. They couldn’t make the most of the opportunities presented to them by the Patriots. It’s not every day Tom Brady goes 3 and out on multiple drives. Even with their defense playing fairly well, the Texans offense had trouble scoring in the red zone and rarely capitalized on multiple Daniel Manning runbacks – who single-handedly kept the Texans in the game. It wasn’t so much of a beat-down this time, but at no point in the game did I find myself thinking that the Texans were en route to a victory. And with the victory, Tom Brady surpassed Joe Montana as the winningest quarterback in postseason history.

Not a bad day’s work.

What’s Next?: The Patriots get their yearly date with the Ravens in the postseason. But I’m not sure they’ve ever seen a Ravens team like this before.

What a weekend! I’ve gotta say, the first game set the mark for me. I think it’ll be a memorable one for quite some time. (Unlike the Packers game, which I’d just as soon forget ever happened.)

How about you guys? Which game was your favorite?

Wait…What Just Happened? : The Packers Total Meltdown

football, advanced, games, packers, meltdownThis week’s What Just Happened comes with the free inclusion of weeping and gnashing of teeth, since today we’re going to be talking about what went wrong in the Packers loss to the 49ers on Saturday night. In 16 years of Packers fandom, I don’t know that I’ve ever seen a more thorough beating in the playoffs. It was 18 kinds of ugly.

For my sanity’s sake, we’re only going to talk about 5 of them.

1. What Just Happened to the Packers Defense?

Game Changer: The Packers defense played an exceptionally terrible game.

When you allow an opponent to gain nearly 600 yards on offense…you’re going to lose the game. You just are.

The Packers defense, and defensive coordinator Dom Capers, were rolling at the end of the 2010 Super Bowl season. They could do no wrong. Then 2011 came…and all they could do was wrong. This season has been much better by comparison, but as noted in the weekend preview post, the Packers defense hasn’t seen a whole lot of the type of offense the Niners run. And the Niners ran that offense all over the Packers.

It’d be somewhat like speaking Spanish and being expected to proofread a book written in Italian. It’s similar, sure; but you’re going to have a hard time being proficient, let alone excellent, when it comes time to turn in the assignment.

Aside from being unfamiliar with the offensive system (which shouldn’t be an excuse for any NFL team), the Packers dug their own grave by playing terrible fundamental football. Missed tackles, blown coverage, and puzzling play calls were the name of the game.

This video basically sums up the Packers night on defense:

2. What Just Happened to Being Bold (Or…Normal) With Play Calls?

Game Changer: The Packers didn’t trust their offense to do what they do best…or at least try.

This is a team that makes unconventional calls like they’re going out of style. Fake punts, onside kicks, the whole shebang. So when the Packer punted on 4th and 4, down by 14 points with 11 minutes to go in the 4th quarter…it felt a little like a white flag. To not go for it with your MVP QB at the 50 yard line that late in a playoff game? Mind-boggling. Plus, it’s not like the defense was inspiring confidence all night, either. The punt call wasn’t so much staying conservative as it was admitting defeat.

3. What Just Happened to Running the Ball?

Game Changer: The Packers reverted back to a pass-only offense and missed out on a potential running game.

The 2010 Packers were pass-happy for most of the year, but they got a good running game going at the end of the season. The 2011 Packers forgot what rushing was. These Packers have had a productive running game ever since early December and the addition of DuJuan Harris. But Harris was hardly seen on Saturday night, as the Packers struggled to get into rhythm on rushing downs. Consequently, they went primarily with the pass…and that wasn’t working for them, either.

4. What Just Happened to Fielding a Punt for the Love of all that’s Holy?!?!

Game Changer: When special teams is bad, everyone is bad.

The Jeremy Ross muffed punt was bad enough. But the inability to field a punt without bobbling it after that was just shy of incomprehensible. It was the embodiment of the complete collapse that was Saturday night.

5. What Just Happened to the Preseason NFC Super Bowl Pick?

Game Changer: There’s a new favorite in town. 

At the end of the day, the Packers got schooled by a superior team and coaching staff. As per Survivor, the Niners outplayed, outwitted, and outlasted the Packers. The Niners were the better team in every aspect of the game. They deserved to win.

I’ll be crying into an empty gallon of ice cream until further notice.

What to Know : Divisional Round of the Playoffs

football, games, playoffsThe divisional round of the playoffs is upon us! This weekend, two AFC games and two NFC games will determine who plays in next weekend’s conference championship. Here’s what you need to know:

Ravens at Broncos

Saturday, January 12th, 4:30pm EST

What to know from history: It’s important to know that the Broncos beat the Ravens earlier this season, 34-17. But it’s probably more important to know that Peyton Manning has beaten the Ravens…nine times in a row. He was a Colt for 8 of those 9 wins (two of which occurred in the playoffs), but it doesn’t matter much. It should be expected that Manning will prove similarly dominant on Saturday despite the new uniform.

But there’s another interesting note from history at play here: Manning has usually been un-Manning-like in the playoffs, with a record of just 9-10. Joe Flacco’s playoff record? 6-4. He’s been to the playoffs and won one round every year since he came into the league five years ago (an NFL record).

What to know on Saturday: The one thing history doesn’t account for is emotion, and there will be plenty to go around on Saturday. The Ravens want to send Ray Lewis out with a Super Bowl victory, and Peyton wants to prove that he’s better than he’s ever been.

Packers at 49ers

Saturday, January 12th, 8:00pm EST

What to know from history: The history between the Packers and the 49ers in the post-season is rich. Five games total, four won by the Packers, each game a classic in it’s own right. Even when the scores weren’t of nail-biting caliber, the weather conditions and the level of talent on the field seemed to set the stage for the making of history. When these two teams meet in the playoffs, there are sure to be fireworks. There’s also the added salt that Aaron Rodgers grew up in San Francisco and was notoriously passed by in the 2005 NFL Draft for Alex Smith, who was the 49ers QB until head coach Jim Harbaugh made the switch to Kaepernick mid-season. It’s no secret that he’s played with a chip on his shoulder about the snub ever since (much to the benefit of the Packers), and it wouldn’t be a surprise to see that chip come out swinging in his first ever game at Candlestick Park in SF on Saturday.

What to know on Saturday: Green Bay might have the upper hand in the win/loss column, but they’ve never seen a 49ers team like this one. These Niners run a predominantly read-option offense led by QB Colin Kaepernick, and it’s not a system the Packers have had the opportunity to play against yet this season (the Niners beat the Packers in Week 1, but with Alex Smith at QB – totally different system). However, even though they say that defense wins championships, Packers QB Aaron Rodgers might have something to say about that. He has a 3-1 record of playoff wins on the road. He also has an unbelievably low interception rate; he is literally the least intercepted quarterback in league history. In his total of 7 playoff starts, he’s thrown 4 interceptions out of 253 attempts. That’s insane. If anything is cited next to defense as the championship-winner, it’s winning the turnover battle. And Rodgers doesn’t turn the ball over.

Seahawks at Falcons

Sunday, January 13th, 1:00pm EST

What to know from history: This game will be the first time the Seahawks and the Falcons meet in the post-season. Rookie QB Russell Wilson has one playoff win under his belt, but the Seahawks are just 4-5 on the road this season, including last week’s playoff win in Washington. Perhaps more troubling is the gloomy history surrounding Falcons QB Matt Ryan: he has been to the playoffs nearly every year since 2008, but has yet to win a game. He’s 0-3 in the playoffs thus far.

What to know on Sunday: You know that emotion surrounding Baltimore over Ray Lewis’s last season? A similar emotion hangs over Atlanta. They want to win the Super Bowl for future Hall of Famer Tony Gonzalez, who is almost definitely retiring after this season. Matt Ryan, I’m sure, would also like to get the critics off his back when it comes to his losing record in the playoffs. The Seahawks seem to be the hottest team in the league right now, winning 7 of their last 8 games. But they’ll be without star defensive end Chris Clemons, who was clearly missed after leaving the game with an ACL injury last Sunday against the Redskins. They’ll also be trying to do what no west coast team since the ’89 LA Rams has done: win two back-to-back playoff games on the east coast.

Texans at Patriots

Sunday, January 13th, 4:30pm EST

What to know from history: Recent history tells us that the Texans got shellacked by the Patriots barely over a month ago in the very same stadium in which they’ll play on Sunday. History also tells us that Tom Brady is an otherworldly 16-6 in the playoffs. He’s a cog in the Belichick machine that could scarcely run any smoother if it tried. However, teams with byes haven’t always faired too well over the past few years. There seems to be something to be said for playing straight through the end of the regular season into the playoffs, so the Texans might have a bit more momentum (and lots of motivation) when they reenter Foxborough on Sunday.

What to know on Sunday: The Texans are not getting any love this week; they are the ultimate underdog. At last check the Patriots were a 9.5 point favorite with the over/under hovering around 48 points. That’s a pretty significant point spread. But for anyone who thinks the Patriots are going to waltz in and demolish the Texans for a second time, myself included, think about this: After their undefeated 2007 season, which included a 38-35 win over the Giants in Week 16, the Patriots were a 13.5 point favorite heading into the Super Bowl. A Super Bowl that the Giants won, 17-14. So the odds don’t have the final say, even when they are enormously lopsided.

Which games are you guys looking forward to this weekend? Any favorites on the schedule?

Game Play Thursday : Onside Kick

football, advanced, onside,

Something you are likely to see over the course of the next few weeks is an onside kick or two. These usually occur near the end of the game or any time a team is desperate for a touchdown. Here’s what to know:

We know that normal kickoffs look like this:

photo credit

The receiving team’s special teams unit  is near their own endzone, but spread throughout their own territory, waiting to receive the kickoff. The kicking team’s special teams unit is lined up in a single line, evenly spaced, and will block and tackle the kickoff return.

An onside kick attempt looks a little different. You’ll know it as soon as you see it:

photo credit

See how much closer the two units are to each other? And how nearly everyone on the receiving team is up front waiting to receive the kick? That’s an onside kick formation.

When you see a team lined up for an onside kick (and don’t worry – the commentators will alert you that the kicking team is attempting an onside kick if you’re unsure), here’s what they’re trying to achieve:

  • In a normal kickoff situation, the kicking team kicks to the receiving team. Wherever the receiving team fields the ball is where the offense starts their drive. So, hypothetically, if the returner caught the kick and was tackled at the 10 yard line, the offense would start at their own 10 yard line. (If a kickoff is caught in the end zone and the returner kneels down, that’s called a touchback. The ball is automatically brought out to the 20 yard line in a touchback.)
  • If a team is behind by several scores, they don’t want to kick the ball off to the other team and give them a chance to score AGAIN. So what they might do instead is an onside kick.
  • If the kicking team recovers the onside kick (we’ll talk about the logistics of the kick in just a second), they get possession of the football and start their drive wherever the ball was recovered.
  • If the kicking team does not recover the ball and the receiving team recovers it instead, they get the ball where they recovered it, and that’s usually a heck of a lot closer to the end zone than they would have been on a normal kickoff. But, it’s a risk that is sometimes necessary to take.

Ok, so, what makes an onside kick different than a normal kick?

Remember how in the photo of the normal kick above the two units were pretty far away from each other? And in the photo of the onside kick they are much closer together? That’s because in an onside kick, the kicking team wants to give their own unit the best chance to recover the football. In order for that to happen, they try to kick it the shortest distance allowable (the ball has to travel at least 10 yards) and beat the receiving team players to the ball. That’s why the receiving team has moved from the endzone to just 10 yards away from the kicking team: they want to be as close as possible to try and get to the ball first.

So, regular kicks are as long as possible; onside kicks are as short as possible.

There are a few rules that govern an onside kick attempt:

  1. The kick has to travel at least 10 yards. If it doesn’t, the receiving team automatically gets the ball wherever it’s downed (where the ball was when the whistle blew the play dead).
  2. A member of the kicking team is not allowed to catch the ball before it hits the ground; once it hits the ground it’s fair game. (Kickers usually kick it so that it’s low and uncatchable – kind of like a skipping rock – so that’s usually not an issue.)
  3. If the kicking team does recover the ball, they can’t advance it (try to pick it up and run with it to gain more yards).

It sounds like a good deal. Make a short kick, recover the ball, get great field position (usually around the 50 yard line) and then try to score. But are onside kicks successful?

For the most part: no. Not by a long shot (or, in this case, a short shot).

According to Pro Football Reference, there have been 59 onside kick attempts so far in the 2012 season. Out of those 59? Only 6 were recovered by the kicking team. And of those 6 recoveries, only 2 went on to win the game! So according to this year’s statistics, there’s a little over a 10% chance that the kicking team will recover, and even if they do, there’s only a 33% chance that they’ll win. That’s only a 3% chance that the kicking team will recover AND win.

Let’s remember that the onside kick isn’t a magical play that automatically evens the score; most teams only try it when they’re desperate. So the fact that 97% of onside kicking teams go on to lose the game isn’t the necessarily the fault of a blown onside kick, it’s that the team was already substantially behind. More often than not, it’s a last ditch effort. But the stats and the risk aren’t nearly enough to make trying an onside kick a foolish move that should never be attempted. Sure, it’s a last ditch effort, but it’s an effort, and it’s going to team a lot farther than watching the other team run out the clock to a victory.

The Saints notoriously used a surprise onside kick to their advantage in Super Bowl XLVI. They were down 10-6 to the Colts at halftime and were slated to kick the ball off to the Colts to begin the second half. But they successfully staged a surprise onside kick instead, followed that with a touchdown, and went on to win the Super Bowl.

Is an onside kick worth the risk? It depends on who you ask. In my own opinion, I think if you have about a 3% chance to win the game with an onside kick and about a 0% chance to win the game without one?

You try the onside kick. Never stop fighting.

What do you guys think?

Surviving the Super Bowl : The Basics of Offense

football, basics, offenseLast week, we learned about how teams make it into the playoffs. But for the next few weeks we’ll be addressing what they do once they get there. Specifically, what happens on offense, defense, and special teams.

Today we’ll dive into a no-frills, quick and easy explanation of the offense. This is by no means a be-all and end-all breakdown of understanding the offense. We’ll get into that in the off-season. For now, I just want you to be able to know the basics of what’s going on when the offense is on the field so you can enjoy the games this weekend.

Really, you can! Here we go:

The Basics of Offense in 4 Simple Points That Won’t Make You Pull Your Hair Out

1. The offense is the team in possession of the football. 

When you’re watching the game, you’ll recognize the offense as the team that has the football and is trying to move it down the field to score. You’ll see the quarterback take the snap from the center (the exchange of the football at the beginning of the play) and either run or pass the ball. That team is the offensive team on that particular drive (a drive = the total collection of plays for the team on offense during their current possession of the football). (Don’t you feel wiser already? And it only gets better from here!)

2. The offense has 6 players that never change, and 5 who change frequently (but always, ALWAYS, 11 players on the field at all times).

There are six consistent players for the offense: the quarterback, who leads the offense by throwing or handing off the football, and the offensive line, which consists of five players who protect the quarterback so he has time to do something with the football. The other five players are a combination of skill position players: running backs, tight ends, and wide receivers. Running backs are the guys who get the ball handed off to them and try to barrel down the field while holding onto the football. Tight ends can either run or catch; they’re the most versatile of the skill players. Wide receivers are the ones who run down the field and make spectacular catches. These five players are sent out in different combinations based on the type of play the offense wants to run. (To learn more about these combinations, check out these two posts on personnel groups.)

3. In general, you can identify offensive players by where they are lined up on the field.

Here’s a basic offensive formation:

football, advanced, personnel

The offensive line is the line of 5 squares. From left to right, you’ll find the left tackle, left guard, center, right guard, and right tackle. Directly behind the center is the quarterback, who will take the snap from the center (the center is the one who has his hand on the football at the beginning of the play and transfers it to the quarterback – an action known as “snapping” the ball). The yellow triangles are the skill position players. The running backs (RB) generally line up in the backfield near the quarterback. The tight ends (TE) usually line up close to the offensive linemen. Wide receivers (WR) line up on the outsides of the formation, near the line of scrimmage (the imaginary line where the play starts from).

4. The offense has four chances, called “downs,” to advance the ball ten yards. If they do, they receive a new set of downs and the opportunity to continue trying to reach the end zone to score.

Don’t give up on this part before we start! Even if the whole first down thing has confused you in the past, you’ll be able to learn it quickly and easily today. This is the hardest part, but if you can add and subtract at a 1st grade level, you can learn this, no sweat.

You are already familiar with the terminology. You’ve heard TV commentators talk about “3 and outs” and “1st and 10” and “4th and long.” Here’s what all of that means:

Once the offense starts their drive, they have four chances, called “downs,” to move the ball 10 yards from where they started (this place is called “the line of scrimmage”). Each play is then calculated by what chance (down) the offense is on and how many yards they have left until they reach 10 yards total. Once they reach or exceed the 10 yards in one set of downs, they get a new set – four more chances to move the ball 10 more yards.

Stay with me! Here’s an example!

Let’s say the offense is starting their drive on their own 20 yard line (a very common occurrence). (Just a note – the 50 yards of field from the offense’s end zone = their “own” side of the field. The 50 yards of field on the defense’s side of the end zone = the defense’s territory.) The ball will be placed on the 20 yard line, and the imaginary line extending from the ball to both sidelines is the line of scrimmage. The offense needs to reach or exceed the 30 yard line, which means they’ve gained at least 10 yards total from where they began (at the 20 yard line), over the course of the next 4 downs to receive a new set of downs and therefore another opportunity to score. You will know how far the offense needs to go to gain a new set of downs thanks to the magic of technology: they need to reach or exceed the bright yellow electronic line on the field, which indicates how far the offense has to go to get a first down.

The first play is called “1st and 10,” because it’s the offense’s first down (chance) and they still have 10 yards to go to get a new set of downs. Let’s say they hand the ball off to a running back and gain 3 yards. The next play would be called “2nd and 7,” because it’s their second chance and the running back gained 3 of the 10 yards needed for a new set of downs, so the offense still has 7 yards left to go before they earn a new set of downs. 10 – 3 = 7. See! 1st grade math! You can do this!!!

Ok, so it’s now 2nd and 7. Since the offense started at the 20 yard line, we know that they are now at the 23 yard line because they gained 3 yards on the last play. Let’s say the quarterback throws a quick pass out to a wide receiver who catches it and gets tackled at the 25 yard line. It’s a 2 yard gain. So what’s the new down and distance?

It you answered 3rd and 5, you’re right! It’s now the offense’s 3rd chance, and they’ve gained 5 total yards (3 on 1st down, 2 on 2nd down), so 10 – 5 = 5 yards left to go.

So it’s 3rd and 5. The quarterback drops back to pass, but he doesn’t find anyone open. He sees a small hole in the defense and keeps the ball himself, trying to run through the hole to gain at least 5 yards. But he’s tackled at the 29 yard line. He only gained 4 yards.

The new down and distance? 4th and 1.

Are you still with me? Because we’re going to make things a little more complicated now that we’ve reached 4th down. Re-read that last section again and then meet me at the next paragraph.

Ready? Let’s move on to 4th down!

When a team reaches 4th down, it’s not as simple as trying one last time to get a first down. If the offense tries and fails on 4th down, they surrender possession of the football right where they are – no kicking or punting – to the other team. So in this situation, if the offense were to go for it on 4th and 1 at their own 29 yard line and the quarterback throws an incomplete pass for no gain, that means the other team would take over at the offense’s 29 yard line, giving them excellent field position to score. They’d already be within field goal range and aren’t even 30 yards away from the end zone. Unless a team is desperate, you’d rarely see an offense “go for it” on 4th down when they are so deep in their own territory.

What you’d normally see in this situation is the offense punting the ball – kicking the ball to the other team – to start the other team’s new possession. This is what we call a “3 and out.” The offense tried to advance the ball 3 times, failed to get a first down, and then had to punt the ball away.

Let’s switch things up for a moment and pretend that the offense isn’t on their own 29 yard line, they’re on the other teams 29 yard line. In that situation, the offense has two options on a 4th and 1 play: they can try for a field goal, which would be kicked from the 46 yard line (because you have to add 17 yards to the line of scrimmage to account for the length of the end zone and where the players line up), a fairly standard field goal attempt. But the offense might also try to go for it on 4th down to try and gain the one yard they need for a new set of downs. This makes sense for 2 reasons: 1. If they make it, they’re in great field position to try and score on the next set of downs. 2. If they don’t, the other team gets the ball right where they are, on the offense’s 29 yard line, which isn’t giving them too much of an advantage in terms of field position.

Let’s review. When 4th down comes to call, a team has these options:

1. PUNT. This happens most often when a team is on their own side of the field (the 50 yards connected to their own end zone) or fairly close to it.

2. KICK A FIELD GOAL. This happens most often when a team is within field goal range (30-50 yards is typical length for NFL kicks) and doesn’t want to give the other team the ball where they currently are. (Although it should be noted that if the offense misses the field goal, the other team gets the ball at the spot of the kick (not at the 4th down line of scrimmage), unless the kick is from the 20 yard line or closer, in which case the other team would get the ball at the 20 yard line.)

3. GO FOR IT. This happens most often when the yardage is short (4th and 1 or 4th and inches) and the team believes they can either convert (get the 1st down) or hand the ball over on downs without sacrificing too much field position.

5. Enjoy the game!

You now know the basics of offense. You know who’s on the field, what they’re trying to do, and what all of the numbers mean. You know that the yellow line isn’t just for esthetic appeal, and know how important it is to the progression of the offense. But when in doubt? Just enjoy the athleticism and competitive greatness on the field. In my opinion, there’s nothing better.

Questions? Comments? Victories? Confusions? Leave ’em in the comments below and we’ll take care of one and all!

Go have fun practicing your newfound knowledge this weekend!!!

What To Know : After Wildcard Weekend

football, games, wildcardI hate to say it, but this Wildcard Weekend was kind of lame. In our preview post I mentioned that I don’t remember ever being so excited for a Wildcard Weekend…but now I can pretty confidently say that I don’t remember ever being so disappointed in a Wildcard Weekend. However, the games got better and better as the weekend progressed, and we can garner helpful information from each of them. Let’s review:

 

Game 1: Bengals at Texans (Bengals 13, Texans 19)

What We Learned: Sometimes history repeats itself because change is hard to come by…and that seems to be the case with the Bengals and the Texans in the playoffs. Last year the Texans had no problem sending the Bengals home on Wildcard Weekend, and some may argue that they had an even easier go of things this time around even though the score was closer. Both teams looked stunningly un-playoff-like, but it somehow felt like the Bengals were going to lose the game from the get-go.

What’s Next?: The Texans will travel to New England to face the Patriots in a rematch of a regular season game that was not unlike the Huns attacking Chinese peasants (sorry, Texans…but it’s true). The first game was billed as a potential AFC Championship game and was assumed to be intensely competitive, but in reality the Patriots had it in the bag from the moment Tom Brady stepped on the field. Final score: 42-14, Patriots. There are well-documented occurrences of regular season beat-downs transforming into playoff victories. The 2007 Giants and the 2010 Packers come to mind. However…I don’t think that’s going to happen this time around. The Patriots are too good and the Texans are too shaky.

Game 2: Vikings at Packers (Vikings 10, Packers 24)

What We Learned: Two things, really: 1. A decent starting quarterback, no matter how maligned, is the key to the engine. Joe Webb, try as he might, couldn’t make the magic happen in place of Christian Ponder on Saturday night. 2. If there is any team in which the starting quarterback is less essential, it’s the Vikings. Adrian Peterson is basically their entire offense. But less than a week after letting him run all over the place for nearly 200 yards (and over 200 a few weeks prior), the Packers figured out how to slow AP down and held him to barely 100 yards. It’s encouraging to see a team be able to correct a significant area of insufficiency so quickly, which bodes well for the Packers next week…

What’s Next?: The Packers will play the 49ers in San Francisco. The game is dripping with storylines. Historically, the Packers and 49ers have played some whoppers in the post-season (and history favors the Packers, but who’s counting?), and this game promises to be no different. Also, Packers MVP quarterback Aaron Rodgers was notoriously passed up by his hometown team in the draft for Alex Smith, the QB they benched this season for Colin Kaepernick. This will be Rodgers’ first game in San Francisco. Final storyline: if the Seahawks win next week, the Packers road to the Super Bowl will go through the only 3 NFC teams they lost to this season: Minnesota, San Francisco, and Seattle. (And let me tell you, after the Fail Mary in Week 3, I am desperate for a rematch in the NFC Championship game.)

But as mentioned above, the Packers are going to have to employ the same kind of quick adjustments this week as they did last week. They haven’t seen any read-option offenses this season (a run-heavy offense with lots of variables) like the one the 49ers run, and had a little trouble with it when the Vikings ran it on Saturday night. Even though the two teams played each other in Week 1 (the Niners won), they’re both vastly different teams at this point in the season so the games are barely comparable.

Game 3: Colts at Ravens (Colts 9, Ravens 24)

What We Learned: One story ends, another begins. I had tears in my eyes and running all over my face as I watched Ray Lewis come out of the tunnel for his last home game as a Raven. He makes the game fun to watch; he’s the ultimate defensive player. But what we saw throughout the game was the emergence of a kid who might end up being the ultimate offensive player: Andrew Luck. Man, I LOVED watching him play on Sunday. He’s all fight. It takes multiple players to bring him down, and even in the midst of getting tackled, he’ll still throw a laser right on target. For the shoes he had to fill, the adversity he had to overcome, and the sheer brilliance with which he’s played the position, he gets my Rookie of the Year vote, 100%.

At the end of the day, it wasn’t nearly enough to stop the freight train that was Ray Lewis’s last home playoff game, but the Colts have nothing to be ashamed of this season. They went from being ranked 32nd (aka: dead last) to earning a spot in the playoffs with an 11-5 record. What they did this season was truly special.

What’s Next?: The Ravens head to Denver to play Peyton and the Broncos. The two teams faced off a few weeks ago in a decisive Broncos victory, but that was without Ray Lewis. Also, Peyton Manning has plenty of playoff demons to face (he notoriously struggles in the post-season). We’ll see how he fares in the playoffs this year as a Bronco. Things could be markedly different, or history might prevail once again, but either way, this looks like a great game.

Game 4: Seahawks at Redskins (Seahawks 24, Redskins 14)

What We Learned: Oh, boy. We learned that RG3 is only going to come off the field on a stretcher, basically. He was visibly affected by the gruesome knee injury he suffered a few weeks ago, and by the second half I think all of America was hoping that he’d still be in one piece at the end of the game. Keeping him on the field for as long as they did (he left in the 4th quarter after hyperextending his knee in a nauseating way) is ushering in quite a bit of controversy for the Redskins, specifically head coach Mike Shanahan. There’s plenty of blame to pass around, and  it surely will be passed in large doses if it turns out that Griffin is seriously injured. But you have to wonder: would the result have been any different had the Redskins sent Kirk Cousins out in the second half instead of Griffin? Maybe, maybe not. The Seahawks played their way out of a 14 point hole and did so forcefully, so who’s to say.

What’s Next?: The Seahawks will face the Falcons for a battle of the birds. This is probably the only game in which the higher-seeded team (the Falcons) won’t be heavily favored. The Falcons haven’t been playing as well as their 13-3 record might indicate and have Matt Ryan’s 0-3 playoff record looming large. The Seahawks seem to be on the opposite trajectory.

Did you guys watch any of the Wildcard games? Questions or comments to share? Please do!